DZ20230130
Data
*As data disclosed by State Administration of Taxation shows that sales income in consumption related industries up 12.2% y/y during the Spring Festival holiday, product and service consumption up by 10% and 13.5% y/y respectively. Box office as of Jan 28th reached 6.76bn, up 11.89% y/y. Domestic tourism income of cny 375.84bn, up 73.1% y/y and recovered to 73.1% of 2019 level.
*Estimated sales of passenger vehicles in Jan of 1.36mio units, down 34.6% y/y and down 37.3% m/m with estimated sales of NEV of 360k units, up 1.8% y/y and down 43.8% m/m in penetration of 26.5%, according to CPCAAUTO.
Financials
*Premier Li Keqiang held State Council general meeting on Jan 28th which required promoting steady recovery of economy at early 2023 with spring ploughing prepared to ensure stable supply of agricultural products. Consumption recovery will be pushed forward and to maintain stable foreign trade.
Policy
*NDRC and 18 other department jointly issued opinions in promoting migration from regions in poverty to urban regions with related household settlement to be encouraged and fiscal supports will be provided to regions with population inflow.
*Shanghai city issued notice in boosting demand, stable growth and development which pointed out 1) exemption and deduction of value-added tax of small-scale tax payer in 2023 as well as discounted loans for medium-small firms; 2) issuance and use of local government bonds to be accelerated; 3) development of private and platform enterprises to be supported; 4) new round of development plan of integrated circuit, bio-pharm and AI industries to be formulated; 5) automobile and home appliance consumption are promoted with cny 10k fiscal subsidy provided for NEV in replacement fuel-consuming vehicles as of June 30th 2023.
Industrial Economy
*Several banks in Zhengzhou city announced to adjust down mortgage rate of first home to 3.8% at lowest by 50bps with rate unchanged for second home, take effect from Jan 29th.
*Jan 20th Block Trade
*Block Trade Info
*Discount
- Shaoyang Victor Hydraulics Co.(301079 CH)saw 4 block trades worth 42mn at 19.85-21 yuan per share, 7.89-12.94 discount from last closing.
- 37 Interactive Entertainment (002555 CH) saw 5 block trades worth 50mn at 20.05 yuan per share, 5.38 discount from last closing.
- Etek Microelectronics Co.(688601 CH) saw 11 block trades worth 27mn at 63.96-64.68 yuan per share, 10.29-11.29 discount from last closing.
- Ja Solar Tech Co.(002459 CH) saw 3 block trades worth 52mn at 65.34 yuan per share, 1.00 discount from last closing.
- Hichain Logistics Co. (300873 CH) saw 2 block trades worth 80mn at 27.89 yuan per share, 3.29 discount from last closing.
- Bcht Biotechnology Co. (688276 CH)saw 5 block trades worth 27mn at 68.2 yuan per share, 7.84 discount from last closing.
- Aiyingshi Co. (603214 CH) saw 5 block trades worth 28mn at 18.18 yuan per share, 8.23 discount from last closing.
*Flat
- Eastern Shenghong Co. (000301 CH)saw 6 block trades worth 156mn at 14.68 yuan per share, 0.00 discount from last closing.
*Margin Trade
Total Margin Balance |
1.4188 trillion |
Total Short Selling Balance |
92.6 billion |
SH Margin Balance |
0.7479 trillion |
SH Short Selling Balance |
58.4billion |
Top Five Margin Trade Net Bought (in CNY) |
Top Five Short Selling Net Sold (in shares) |
||
601728 |
548mio |
601728 |
1.96mio |
600900 |
463mio |
601375 |
1.8mio |
600500 |
192mio |
512400 |
1.53mio |
600188 |
166mio |
601868 |
1.2mio |
600536 |
116mio |
600481 |
0.94mio |
SZ Margin Balance |
0.6709 trillion |
SZ Short Selling Balance |
34.2 billion |
Top Five Margin Trade Net Bought (in CNY) |
Top Five Short Selling Net Sold (in shares) |
||
002192 |
38mio |
000100 |
1.77mio |
002176 |
31mio |
002195 |
1.43mio |
000915 |
30mio |
000750 |
0.91mio |
002422 |
16mio |
300035 |
0.7mio |
002334 |
14mio |
002479 |
0.65mio |
*Connection Trade
Southbound trading was suspended on Jan 20th
SH-HK Connection (bn cny) |
SZ-HK Connection (bn cny) |
||||
Northbound Net Cash Flow |
+4.2 |
Northbound Net Cash Flow |
+5.0 |
||
Southbound Net Cash Flow |
- |
Southbound Net Cash Flow |
- |
||
Top 5 Northbound Inflow |
Top 5 Northbound Outflow |
||||
Name |
Market Value (mio cny) |
‰ out of ttl share outstanding |
Name |
Market Value (mio cny) |
‰ out of ttl share outstanding |
601012 |
757 |
2.23 |
600276 |
247 |
0.89 |
300750 |
367 |
0.39 |
603288 |
180 |
0.48 |
600900 |
276 |
0.6 |
601166 |
137 |
0.37 |
300896 |
272 |
4.86 |
002371 |
115 |
0.89 |
600522 |
263 |
5.07 |
002594 |
113 |
0.36 |
*Index Futures
Position of Top 20 members (Unit lots) |
||||||
CSI 300 Index Futures |
Trading Volume |
Change* |
Long OI |
Change* |
Short OI |
Change* |
IF2301 |
26,151 |
-24,442 |
0 |
-12,961 |
0 |
-10,685 |
IF2302 |
66,666 |
18,759 |
44,906 |
7,174 |
49,145 |
7,744 |
IF2303 |
34,364 |
-159 |
68,646 |
1,233 |
80,195 |
370 |
IF2306 |
11,798 |
1,287 |
34,552 |
877 |
46,354 |
1,261 |
SSE 50 Index Futures |
Trading Volume |
Change* |
Long OI |
Change* |
Short OI |
Change* |
IH2301 |
22,007 |
-18,626 |
0 |
-8,544 |
0 |
-7,003 |
IH2302 |
46,749 |
11,780 |
28,827 |
4,316 |
34,185 |
4,628 |
IH2303 |
27,984 |
-3,349 |
37,876 |
-656 |
52,897 |
337 |
IH2306 |
6,985 |
-1,082 |
15,982 |
-483 |
21,329 |
-376 |
CSI 500 Index Futures |
Trading Volume |
Change* |
Long OI |
Change* |
Short OI |
Change* |
IC2301 |
23,372 |
-23,597 |
0 |
-7,888 |
0 |
-10,886 |
IC2302 |
54,193 |
12,472 |
55,879 |
7,119 |
54,217 |
7,234 |
IC2303 |
23,902 |
-306 |
96,292 |
238 |
95,740 |
236 |
IC2306 |
15,396 |
3,011 |
81,671 |
1,134 |
89,876 |
311 |
CSI 1000 Index Futures |
Trading Volume |
Change* |
Long OI |
Change* |
Short OI |
Change* |
IM2301 |
14,765 |
-9,565 |
0 |
-4,916 |
0 |
-6,165 |
IM2302 |
36,102 |
7,173 |
29,290 |
5,908 |
30,904 |
6,064 |
IM2303 |
19,276 |
-2,580 |
40,369 |
894 |
42,596 |
1,227 |
IM2306 |
10,461 |
907 |
32,136 |
880 |
40,491 |
589 |
*Index Options
Position of Top 20 members (Unit lots) |
||||||
CSI 300 Index Options |
Trading Volume |
Change* |
Long OI |
Change* |
Short OI |
Change* |
IO2301 |
100242 |
-26264 |
0 |
-21463 |
0 |
-30403 |
IO2302 |
77952 |
32302 |
47851 |
5523 |
46809 |
5745 |
CSI 1000 Index Options |
Trading Volume |
Change* |
Long OI |
Change* |
Short OI |
Change* |
MO2301 |
68175 |
-13401 |
0 |
-11236 |
0 |
-15202 |
MO2302 |
45265 |
21564 |
20128 |
3551 |
21216 |
3542 |
SSE50 Index Options |
Trading Volume |
Change* |
Long OI |
Change* |
Short OI |
Change* |
HO2301 |
52577 |
-14738 |
0 |
-8567 |
0 |
-10753 |
*Treasury Futures
Position of Top 20 members (Unit lots) |
||||||
2-Year Treasury Bond Futures |
Trading Volume |
Change* |
Long OI |
Change* |
Short OI |
Change* |
TS2303 |
54,156 |
-27,131 |
36,659 |
394 |
39,517 |
80 |
5-Year Treasury Bond Futures |
Trading Volume |
Change* |
Long OI |
Change* |
Short OI |
Change* |
TF2303 |
53,415 |
-30,607 |
83,334 |
1,246 |
84,426 |
988 |
TF2306 |
5,912 |
1,934 |
8,941 |
438 |
9,694 |
106 |
10-Year Treasury Bond Futures |
Trading Volume |
Change* |
Long OI |
Change* |
Short OI |
Change* |
T2303 |
74,708 |
-15,595 |
145,029 |
3,481 |
138,095 |
2,667 |
T2306 |
15,674 |
1,858 |
19,832 |
960 |
22,127 |
966 |
*Night Session Commodities Market (As of 02:30 am)
Top 3 Gainers (Dominant Contract) |
|||||
Product |
Contract |
Price |
Change % |
Trading Volume |
Open Interests |
Nickel |
NI2303 |
219,240.0 |
+5.25% |
100,014 |
70,830 |
Tin |
SN2303 |
238,960.0 |
+3.82% |
130,483 |
39,643 |
LPG |
PG2303 |
4,871.0 |
+3.57% |
75,974 |
81,547 |
Top 3 Loser (Dominant Contract) |
|||||
Product |
Contract |
Price |
Change % |
Trading Volume |
Open Interests |
Rapeseed Meal |
RM305 |
3,148.0 |
-2.3% |
416,685 |
494,804 |
Corn Starch |
CS2303 |
2,960.0 |
-1.5% |
138,692 |
127,077 |
Soybean Meal |
M2305 |
3,841.0 |
-1.44% |
488,082 |
1,259,265 |
Global Commodities (During Spring Festival):
* Global crude oil closed down collectively. February NYMEX contract down 1.83% to closed at $79.38/b, March Brent contract down 0.24% to closed at $86.21/b.
* Precious metals closed down collectively. COMEX gold contract down 0.03% to closed at $1927.6/oz. COMEX gold contract down 1.47% to closed at $23.73/oz.
* Metals closed up mostly. LME tin up 4.91%, LME lead up 1.44%, LME aluminum up 0.44%, LME nickel down 0.99% on the contrast, LME copper down 0.74%, LME zinc down 0.10%..
* Agricultural products closed up mostly, ICE sugar up 6.81%, ICE cotton up 3.41%, CBOT wheat up 2.64%, CBOT corn up 1.37%, CBOT soybean meal up 0.83%, CBOT soybean up 0.05%, CBOT soybean oil down 3.83% on the contrast.
DISCLAIMER
The report is issued by Orient Securities Co. LTD (Orient Securities) and Shanghai Orient Futures Co. LTD (Orient Futures) to institutional investors. Opinions expressed may differ from those of other divisions of Orient Securities, including Orient Securities Research Institute. Orient Securities may trade as principal in instruments identified herein and may accumulate/have accumulated a long or short position in instruments or derivatives thereof. Orient Securities has policies designed to negate conflicts of interest. This e-mail is not an official confirmation of terms and unless stated, is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell. Any prices or quotations contained herein are indicative only. Communications may be monitored.