DZ20241111
Review on key takeaways from Fri NPC briefing on fiscal plan
- A 6 trillion yuan program approved to refinance local government debt which will be implemented in 3 years.
- cny 80mio will be arranged each year in coming 5 years from new local government special bonds, in total swap hidden debt cny 4 trillion yuan.
- cny 2tn implicit debt of shantytown renovation due in 2029 and after will be paid on original contract.
- debt swap plan announced can help save local interest expense around cny 600bn in 5 years.
Financial
- Wu Qing, president of CSRC held two forums recently in Shanghai with representatives of financial institutions including brokers and funds which emphasized to promote stable and healthy development of capital market.
Data
- China Oct PPI down 2.9% y/y, vs est down 2.5% and previous month of down 2.8% y/y.
- China Oct CPI up 0.3% y/y, vs est up 0.4%.
- The 7th China International Import Expo saw intended transaction amount of usd 80.01bn on 1-year term, up 2.0% vs last year.
Policy
- Premier Li Qiang held state council general meeting and approved measures in promoting stable growth of foreign trade which pointed out to boost development of cross-border e-commerce and construction of smart logistics platform. Measures in deepening reform and development of elderly care industry was under research.
Nov 8 Block Trade Info
*Discount
-Everdisplay Optronics (688538 CH) saw 3 block trades worth 79.80mn at 2.66yuan per share,1.12pct discount from last closing.
-China Wafer Level Csp (603005 CH) saw 2 block trades worth 139.65mn at 27.93yuan per share,1.79pct discount from last closing.
-Shanghai Electric Power (600021 CH) saw 1 block trade worth 208.85mn at 9.61yuan per share,7.06pct discount from last closing.
-CATL (300750 CH) saw 1 block trade worth 110.99mn at 254.93yuan per share,1.00pct discount from last closing.
-Shenzhen Inovance (300124 CH) saw 1 block trade worth 99.79mn at 59.14yuan per share,5.01pct discount from last closing.
*Margin Trade
Total Margin Balance |
1.7945 trillion |
Total Short Selling Balance |
10.4 billion |
SH Margin Balance |
0.9242 trillion |
SH Short Selling Balance |
7.1 billion |
Top Five Margin Trade Net Bought (in CNY) |
Top Five Short Selling Net Sold (in shares) |
||
600760 |
928mio |
512100 |
6.5mio |
510050 |
669mio |
600010 |
5.6mio |
600518 |
364mio |
600705 |
1.5mio |
601727 |
337mio |
515220 |
1.2mio |
600030 |
292mio |
512500 |
1.1mio |
SZ Margin Balance |
0.8666 trillion |
SZ Short Selling Balance |
3.2 billion |
Top Five Margin Trade Net Bought (in CNY) |
Top Five Short Selling Net Sold (in shares) |
||
300059 |
551mio |
000966 |
0.3mio |
300033 |
511mio |
000767 |
0.3mio |
000066 |
481mio |
002239 |
0.3mio |
300274 |
292mio |
002195 |
0.3mio |
300339 |
268mio |
000665 |
0.3mio |
*Connection Trade
SH-HK Connection (bn cny/hkd) |
SZ-HK Connection (bn cny/hkd) |
||||
Northbound Turnover |
149.21 |
Northbound Turnover |
161.17 |
||
Southbound Net Cash Flow |
-0.1 |
Southbound Net Cash Flow |
-2.9 |
||
Top 5 Northbound Turnover/Shanghai |
Top 5 Northbound Turnover/Shenzhen |
||||
Name |
Market Value (mio cny) |
Name |
Market Value (mio cny) |
||
600030 |
3040 |
300750 |
3322 |
||
600519 |
2603 |
300059 |
2526 |
||
601138 |
2078 |
000858 |
2288 |
||
601127 |
1587 |
002475 |
1638 |
||
601318 |
1511 |
002594 |
1431 |
||
*Index Futures
Position of Top 20 members (Unit lots) |
||||||
CSI 300 |
Trading Volume |
Change* |
Long OI |
Change* |
Short OI |
Change* |
IF2411 |
85,175 |
649 |
38,306 |
-1,690 |
38,239 |
-2,960 |
IF2412 |
187,430 |
11,627 |
116,143 |
-298 |
149,852 |
-2,296 |
IF2503 |
44,474 |
4,789 |
43,982 |
973 |
59,170 |
1,783 |
IF2506 |
15,934 |
3,660 |
11,252 |
1,112 |
15,801 |
1,824 |
SSE 50 |
Trading Volume |
Change* |
Long OI |
Change* |
Short OI |
Change* |
IH2411 |
45,987 |
-3,098 |
20,872 |
-2,653 |
22,226 |
-3,131 |
IH2412 |
103,084 |
2,476 |
49,820 |
-3,086 |
65,694 |
-5,278 |
IH2503 |
22,783 |
2,759 |
16,455 |
-185 |
24,511 |
349 |
CSI 500 |
Trading Volume |
Change* |
Long OI |
Change* |
Short OI |
Change* |
IC2411 |
66,143 |
7,459 |
31,745 |
-1,316 |
32,796 |
-1,835 |
IC2412 |
121,973 |
13,219 |
98,056 |
1,810 |
105,348 |
1,191 |
IC2503 |
35,218 |
4,098 |
47,051 |
1,408 |
51,861 |
1,706 |
IC2506 |
11,838 |
906 |
14,166 |
1,069 |
16,024 |
1,180 |
CSI 1000 |
Trading Volume |
Change* |
Long OI |
Change* |
Short OI |
Change* |
IM2411 |
102,382 |
5,135 |
45,934 |
1,014 |
48,889 |
733 |
IM2412 |
251,065 |
34,044 |
124,105 |
8,210 |
141,105 |
9,565 |
IM2503 |
60,717 |
8,609 |
60,249 |
838 |
70,583 |
937 |
IM2506 |
22,539 |
1,303 |
20,618 |
983 |
24,351 |
1,257 |
*Index Options
Position of Top 20 members (Unit lots) |
||||||
CSI 300 Index Options |
Trading Volume |
Change* |
Long OI |
Change* |
Short OI |
Change* |
IO2411 |
262428 |
48112 |
80109 |
-839 |
89553 |
-2715 |
IO2412 |
67469 |
5224 |
51368 |
2054 |
61780 |
3376 |
CSI 1000 Index |
Trading Volume |
Change* |
Long OI |
Change* |
Short OI |
Change* |
MO2411 |
321951 |
39714 |
77527 |
-1129 |
85462 |
-739 |
MO2412 |
76144 |
25994 |
56299 |
2096 |
61243 |
1635 |
MO2503 |
11315 |
3872 |
17899 |
355 |
18903 |
321 |
SSE50 Index |
Trading Volume |
Change* |
Long OI |
Change* |
Short OI |
Change* |
HO2411 |
148411 |
14724 |
37988 |
538 |
44781 |
-52 |
*Treasury Futures
Position of Top 20 members (Unit lots) |
||||||
2-Year Treasury |
Trading Volume |
Change* |
Long OI |
Change* |
Short OI |
Change* |
TS2412 |
65,347 |
8,078 |
45,843 |
2,176 |
48,778 |
1,770 |
TS2503 |
15,573 |
3,979 |
18,509 |
1,712 |
19,300 |
1,806 |
5-Year Treasury |
Trading Volume |
Change* |
Long OI |
Change* |
Short OI |
Change* |
TF2412 |
100,214 |
19,641 |
98,580 |
-2,221 |
106,831 |
-2,193 |
TF2503 |
18,982 |
5,874 |
21,097 |
3,453 |
22,687 |
3,708 |
10-Year Treasury |
Trading Volume |
Change* |
Long OI |
Change* |
Short OI |
Change* |
T2412 |
106,853 |
19,386 |
150,110 |
-2,102 |
153,536 |
-1,662 |
T2503 |
29,126 |
6,281 |
38,167 |
5,486 |
39,302 |
6,676 |
30-Year Treasury |
Trading Volume |
Change* |
Long OI |
Change* |
Short OI |
Change* |
TL2412 |
91,099 |
11,740 |
53,321 |
-591 |
57,900 |
1,209 |
TL2503 |
25,206 |
10,044 |
20,233 |
1,606 |
20,285 |
2,019 |
*Night Session Commodities Market (As of 02:30 am)
Top 3 Gainers (Dominant Contract) |
|||||
Product |
Contract |
Price |
Change % |
Trading Volume |
Open Interests |
RBD Palm Olein |
P2501 |
10,262.0 |
+2.66% |
500,510 |
632,451 |
Rapeseed Oil |
OI501 |
9,918.0 |
+1.86% |
292,631 |
275,463 |
White Sugar |
SR501 |
5,898.0 |
+0.99% |
183,293 |
299,367 |
Top 3 Loser (Dominant Contract) |
|||||
Product |
Contract |
Price |
Change % |
Trading Volume |
Open Interests |
Soda Ash |
SA501 |
1,489.0 |
-3.5% |
650,085 |
1,253,285 |
Iron Ore |
I2501 |
763.5 |
-2.68% |
201,037 |
440,923 |
PVC |
V2501 |
5,309.0 |
-2.55% |
512,670 |
976,333 |
* Commodities (night session):
* Global crude oil price closed down. December NYMEX crude oil contract down about 2.67% to closed at $70.43/b, January Brent contract down about 2.18% to closed at $73.98/b. INE crude oil active contract down about 1.13% to 532 yuan/b.
* Precious metals closed down, COMEX gold active contract down 0.52% and closed at $2691.7/oz. SHFE gold active contract up 0.55% to closed at 619.7 yuan/gram.
* Metals closed down collectively, LME copper down 2.39%, LME zinc down 2.23%, LME nickel down 1.67%, LME aluminum down 2.51%, LME tin down 0.13%, LME lead down 0.71%, SHFE zinc down 1.33%, SHFE copper down 1.1%, SHFE nickel down 0.79%, SHFE aluminum down 0.65%, SHFE lead down 0.47%, SHFE tin down 0.46%.
* Commodity futures closed down, soda ash down 3.5%, PVC down 2.55%, butadiene rubber down 2.43%, glass down 2.18%, PTA down 1.29%, TSR 20 down 1.23%, iron ore down 2.68%, coke down 2.39%, coking coal down 2.54%, steel rebar down 1.99%, hot-rolled coil down 1.76%, No.2 soybeans down 1.13%, soybean meal down 1.08%, RBD palm olein up 2.66%.
DISCLAIMER
The report is issued by Orient Securities Co. LTD (Orient Securities) and Shanghai Orient Futures Co. LTD (Orient Futures) to institutional investors. Opinions expressed may differ from those of other divisions of Orient Securities, including Orient Securities Research Institute. Orient Securities may trade as principal in instruments identified herein and may accumulate/have accumulated a long or short position in instruments or derivatives thereof. Orient Securities has policies designed to negate conflicts of interest. This e-mail is not an official confirmation of terms and unless stated, is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell. Any prices or quotations contained herein are indicative only. Communications may be monitored.