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宏观策略(股指期货)

商务部:9月将出台扩大服务消费的若干政策

7月工企利润增速跌幅收窄,拆分来看,量小幅回落,价格因素持平,利润率跌幅修复较明显,但反内卷政策效果仍有待观察。

宏观策略(美国股指期货)

英伟达财报数据中心收入逊色,指引不够亮眼

美联储官员再度释放降息预期,英伟达财报稍显疲弱,美股盘后小幅回调。

宏观策略(国债期货)

1-7月份全国规模以上工业企业利润增速同比下降1.7%

除非股市持续调整或是央行货币政策超预期转松,否则国债依然缺乏持续上涨机会。单边裸多仍需谨慎。

农产品(豆粕)

9月国内油厂进口大豆船期及10-11月到港预报

中美关系影响未来美豆出口前景,也影响未来我国进口大豆供应,目前仍是影响期价走势的最重要不确定因素。国内进口大豆到港充裕,但钢联预计10月进口大豆量将有所下滑。

黑色金属(焦煤/焦炭)

西南市场炼焦煤暂稳

盘面短期仍有调整压力,但需求高位稳定,因此调整后下方支撑较强。

有色金属(锌)

8月26日【LME0-3锌】贴水4.61美元/吨

短期情绪明显走弱,但难言宏观已就此转势,海外低库存风险依旧较大,内盘情绪或跟随股市仍有反复,绝对价格关注下方整数关口支撑。

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