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宏观策略(黄金)
美联储哈玛克表示:仍需保持紧缩政策抑制通胀
金价震荡收跌徘徊于4000美金附近,美联储多位官员发表讲话,除了最鸽派的米兰支持12月继续降息,其他官员因为通胀上行风险以及最近政府停摆造成的数据缺失而保持谨慎。

宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数))
美联储明年票委强调通胀风险,反对进一步降息
多位美联储官员表态反对进一步降息,市场风险偏好回落,美元震荡。

宏观策略(股指期货)
沪指放量上行重返4000点
近期市场依旧在我们的框架下运行,在无更多增量利空的情况下,股指高位反复拉锯。受题材影响,创业板指仍为表现最突出的指数。

农产品(棉花)
进口纱:精梳进口占比上升 美金资源报价偏弱
彊棉采收已近尾声,现货市场以“一口价”销售为主,且询价采购新棉的主体主要为棉花贸易商、期现公司,内地纺织企业对原料随用随采为主。近期新棉仓单增加较快。

黑色金属(焦煤/焦炭)
华中市场炼焦煤价格偏强运行
短期来看,现货市场仍然偏紧,但铁水高点已现,短期或延续震荡格局,关注铁水下降带来的风险。

有色金属(多晶硅)
四川启动136号文竞价方案
若盘面回调至平水或贴水现货,可关注逢低做多机会。注意本周末日期权风险

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