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宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数))
特朗普的和平计划遭遇新阻碍 普京称将改变谈判立场
俄罗斯表示乌克兰袭击普京住所,导致停火计划遇阻。俄乌冲突出现新变数,美元短期震荡。

宏观策略(股指期货)
沪指放量录得九连阳
A股继续放量,但盘面涨跌分化较大,商业航天等概念涨幅较大,而创业板则跌幅明显。我们认为流动性扩张过程是近期行情的主要推动力,短期波动不影响躁动底色。

宏观策略(黄金)
CME上调黄金白银保证金
黄金白银大跌,白银逼仓交易暂时告一段落,多头获利了结,空头被迫平仓,叠加假期前后市场流动性不佳波动放大,交易所上调保证金也加剧了抛压。国内元旦假期将至也要减仓。

农产品(豆粕)
油厂豆粕库存继续上升
市场继续关注我国采购美豆情况,目前南美产区天气良好、产量前景乐观。上周油厂豆粕库存再度上升,长时间为历史同期最高。

黑色金属(铁矿石)
Champion Iron拟收购Rana Gruber
铁水基本逐步持平叠加钢厂原料库存不高,下游补库情绪或略有抬升。但考虑市场对年后需求预期依然谨慎,整体高度也难以太强,预计铁矿石维持震荡市,支撑尚可。

有色金属(碳酸锂)
龙蟠科技:控股子公司常州锂源磷酸铁锂部分产线减产检修
短期预计会有回调压力,中线仍建议关注逢低做多机会。

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