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宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数))
– 美财长劝说特朗普:别动美联储主席!
– 贝森特劝说特朗普不要替换鲍威尔,因此预计美联储主席风波暂告段落,市场风险偏好回升,美元指数高位震荡。

宏观策略(股指期货)
– 四部门部署进一步规范新能源汽车产业竞争秩序工作
– 当前股市情绪火热,尽管有基本面走弱的压力,但市场依旧以快速轮动的方式寻找低估板块并快速将之拉高。在无更多宏观利空下,市场易涨难跌。

宏观策略(黄金)
– 美国财长对日美谈判释放良好信号
– 周五金价震荡收涨,市场关注美国对外关税谈判进展,美国财长对日美谈判表态乐观,近期对中美谈判也释放积极信号,市场风险偏好维持高位,导致黄金难以突破上涨。

有色金属(多晶硅)
– 东方希望关于抵制多晶硅行业网络不实信息的声明
– 逢低做多或更具备安全边际,关注企业套保意愿。

航运指数(集装箱运价)
– 华南码头停摆
– 目前08-10价差率扩大至28%、基本贴近30%的经验性折价率 ,若现货持续超预期、可适当考虑情绪带动下10合约再度冲高后的沽空机会,或关注现货拐点确认时的空单

上海东证期货有限公司

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