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宏观策略(黄金)

美国8月通胀预期抬升

周五金价震荡收跌,美国经济数据仍表现出韧性,7月零售销售如期反弹,同时前值上修,汽车销售明显增长,排除掉通胀因素,实际销售也录得增长。俄乌没有给黄金带来利多。

宏观策略(股指期货)

中国7月经济数据下滑

7月经济数据全面下滑,显示内需压力加大。但股市最近放量冲高的走势和经济基本面略有背离。短期内我们认为还会有冲高,但也需要留意高位波动放大的风险。

宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数))

特朗普:在俄罗斯问题上取得重大进展

美俄会谈没有达成实际协议,预计美国将会给乌克兰施压,领土换和平,市场风险偏好继续回升。

农产品(棉花)

巴西CONAB2025年8月份产量预估

截止8月7日当周,25/26美陆地棉周度签约5.49万吨,新年度首周出口签约尚可,对盘面有一定的利多影响,但累计出口签约进度仍缓慢,后续需求情况仍需要持续关注。

黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板)

1-7月全国房地产开发投资同比下降12%

7月经济数据显示建材需求维持疲弱,商品房销售和新开工降幅均扩大,基建投资增速有所回落,终端亮点有限,钢价上方压力依然偏大,预计近期维持震荡格局。

有色金属(多晶硅)

SMM追踪:组件缺货涨价真假?

单边仍以回调看涨思路对待,套利从盈亏比角度看可在-2000元/吨左右重新关注11-12反套机会。

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