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宏观策略(黄金)
特朗普认为,现在比以往任何时候都更接近达成协议
金价震荡微涨一度接近前高,日内振幅加大,贵金属其他品种表现强势,市场关注即将公布的美国11月非农就业数据,目前降息预期已经充分定价。美联储多位官员陆续发表讲话。

宏观策略(股指期货)
11月经济数据增长继续放缓
11月经济数据再度走弱,而股市也跟随调整。基本面交易者成为阶段性定价主力,高估值、高预期的股市,上行存在压制。羸弱的经济数据或迫使政策加快出台,关注政策变化。

宏观策略(国债期货)
央行开展了1309亿元7天期逆回购操作
11月经济数据继续走弱,供强需弱的格局仍旧存在,机构行为主导了债市下跌。做多赔率较高,但胜率不足,建议关注右侧的做多机会。

农产品(豆粕)
油厂豆粕库存下降
NOPA压榨数据低于预期,市场对美豆出口担忧情绪不减,CBOT大豆弱势运行。巴西12月出口继续较去年同期增加;新作播种基本结束,产区天气条件及作物生长情况良好。

黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板)
中钢协:12月上旬全国日产粗钢228万吨
11月经济数据公布,建材终端需求维持疲弱,但并未非常超出市场预期,制造业需求则依然具备韧性。在前期政策利空落地后,市场对需求偏弱没有进一步反应,短期延续震荡。

有色金属(碳酸锂)
磷酸铁锂迎来涨价潮,有头部企业已提前锁单并扩产
若复产后叠加淡季需求回落,短期盘面预计承压,中长线仍以回调做多思路对待。

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