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宏观策略(黄金)
哈塞特:美联储有可能在缩减资产负债表的同时启动降息
金价弱势震荡,受限于美元指数走强和美债收益率回升,凯文沃什的鹰派证词使得市场对未来美联储货币政策宽松的预期下降,降息+缩表的组合意味着市场流动性不会泛滥。

宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数))
美方称彻底清除伊朗在霍尔木兹海峡布设的水雷需要6个月
特朗普表态没有设定停火延期时间表,美伊继续处于对峙状态,市场风险偏好走高,美元震荡。

宏观策略(股指期货)
沪指放量站上4100点
在AI硬件产业链带动下,股市快速修复站上4100点。但近期融资余额的放大,或许代表散户高位追入。交易集中且拥挤,后续高位波动风险加大。但中期不改牛市本色。

黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板)
云南省:支持钢铁行业转型升级
钢价延续小幅回升,近期受五一假期前补库需求及市场预期转暖的影响,对价格形成比较明显的拉动。但钢材终端需求亮点依然有限,仍会限制上方空间。

有色金属(铜)
必和必拓3月当季铜产量减少
宏观与基本面情绪均得到阶段改善,铜价受此支撑或继续偏强运行,策略上短线多头思路为主。

能源化工(液化石油气)
EIA周度数据
预计后续处于累库趋势

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