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宏观策略(黄金)
5月美国制造业PMI初值跳到55.3
金价震荡收涨,市场风险偏好略有回升,受到美国和伊朗继续谈判的消息带动,对中东局势的担忧略有缓解,不过实际的进展以及后续霍尔木兹海峡通航情况仍是关键。

宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数))
美伊和谈略现进展 铀问题及海峡通行费仍添变数
美伊谈判分歧有所减少,但是核心矛盾依旧存在,市场风险偏好回升,美元延续震荡。

黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板)
Mysteel五大品种库存周环比减少18.38万吨
本周五大品种库存去化明显放缓,建材去库尚可,卷板库存略有累积。基本面压力有所增加,对钢价形成压制。而若能源价格风险没有根本扭转,仍会影响成本和海外钢价预期。

宏观策略(国债期货)
央行开展了1000亿元7天期逆回购操作
税期、走款期间资金面大概率存在波动,资金利率易上难下,债市会先对资金面的边际变化做出定价。

有色金属(铜)
中矿资源集团与秘鲁金达矿业签署协议
中东局势反复多变,造成宏观情绪波动较大,短期对铜价形成冲击,铜价或宽幅震荡运行,中线继续推荐逢低买入策略。

能源化工(PTA)
江浙终端开机率调整,订单依旧疲弱
终端开工率有企稳小幅回升的迹象,但订单氛围仍然偏淡。后续关注需求端修复的情况,地缘风险不解除,原料价格仍有上行风险。

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