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宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数))

巴尔金:AI投资正给中性利率带来压力

美国最新的核心PCE符合预期,环比增速不及预期,这意味着美联储6月利率会议利率不动概率上升,美元震荡。

宏观策略(国债期货)

央行开展了1013亿元7天期逆回购操作

资金面整体均衡,股市由跌转涨,叠加午后市场对于央行稳信贷预期上升,债市由强转弱。

宏观策略(黄金)

美国与伊朗已就一份谅解备忘录达成一致

金价震荡收涨,日内振幅加大,一方面是受到美伊可能达成谅解备忘录的提振,但特朗普尚未签字通过,不确定性犹存。一方面是美国四月核心PCE基本符合市场预期。

农产品(豆粕)

2026年6月国内油厂进口大豆船期及7月-8月到港预报

市场继续关注中东局势。阿根廷油籽工人短暂罢工但很快结束。USDA将于周五晚公布出口销售报告,市场平均预估截至5月21日当周美豆出口销售净增15-70万吨。

有色金属(碳酸锂)

津巴布韦宣布:将锂、镍等14种矿产列为“关键矿产”

策略上可关注盘后回调后的再低多机会。

能源化工(燃料油)

新加坡燃料油库存环比下降

周内地缘局势反复扰动,市场略显疲态,但中东高硫发电需求仍有继续增长的预期,高硫裂解价差仍有支撑,低硫则受到成品油短缺支撑。

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