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宏观策略(黄金)
美国对伊朗进行空袭
金价再度下跌近2%,美伊再度爆发军事冲突,双方距离达成协议遥遥无期,强势美元和美联储紧缩预期施压市场整体市场风险,美股下跌,流动性边际收紧,贵金属此刻便被抛售。

宏观策略(股指期货)
中国5月进出口超预期高增长
美伊摩擦小幅升级,避险情绪有所升温,股市近期仍将趋于谨慎。A股虽缩量修复,但短期内或难以走出趋势。

宏观策略(国债期货)
央行开展了1530亿元7天期逆回购操作
海外终端需求有韧性、AI科技景气度较高以及通胀上升共同导致了我国5月出口增速超预期。进出口数据是影响债市的次要变量,债市更为关注流动性的变化,建议做平曲线。

黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板)
5月中国出口钢材1034.1万吨
钢价弱势震荡,成材基本面压力加之终端缺乏亮点导致焦煤期价大幅下跌,关注成本端的变化。需求季节性转弱以及累库压力的增加,仍需铁水减量缓和供应端压力。

有色金属(氧化铝)
几内亚矿业与地质部召开会议
市场传传出几内亚矿石收紧政策消息。

能源化工(燃料油)
国内第二批低硫燃料油出口配额下发
地缘危机引发的断供风险尚未解除,燃料油价格高位震荡。

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