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宏观策略(黄金)
美国6月ADP就业人数 9.8万人
金价剧烈波动最终小幅收涨,美联储主席凯文沃什在欧洲央行年会上表示近期通胀预期已经下降,提振了市场情绪黄金一度上涨超过2%,但随后仍然是表达了抗击通胀的决心。

宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数))
ADP数据:6月美国私营部门新增就业9.8万人
最新的ADP就业低于预期,劳动力市场可能出现韧性降低的状况,美元维持震荡。

宏观策略(国债期货)
央行开展了1000亿元7天期逆回购操作
资金面是后续债市走势的决定性因素。不过即使月初资金面持续偏紧,债市调整的空间也是有限的,各品种利率上行幅度不会超过10BP。调整反而会带来加仓的机会。

黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板)
百强房企上半年销售额近1.6万亿元,6月环比增长11%
钢价震荡运行,供需基本面方面,钢价仍有一定压力,库存压力累积。不过钢价下跌至相对偏低估值,驱动有限,预计短期延续震荡格局。

农产品(生猪)
农业板块走高,猪肉、鸡肉股亮眼
肥猪价格上涨带动标猪价格企稳走强,市场二育体量环比增加。

能源化工(原油)
EIA美国原油库存下降
油价进一步下跌,美伊称谈判取得一定进展,风险溢价进一步回落。

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