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宏观策略(黄金)
美国总统特朗普:美国和伊朗决定暂停会谈一周
周五金价震荡收涨,美国独立日假期休市,市场无重要数据公布交易较为清淡,金价延续非农就业及预期后的反弹状态。本周关注美联储六月利率会议纪要。

宏观策略(股指期货)
证监会优化再融资政策
从已经披露的部分股票业绩预告看,二季度股市利润增速有望维持甚至超越一季度水平,高估问题将得以一定程度化解。我们认为A股行情有望在AI链内部轮动而非机械性扩散。

宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数))
以军称已全面控制黎巴嫩南部博福特岭
以色列称全面控制黎巴嫩南部的一处要地,在目前的环境下,对于美伊局势形成负面影响。

农产品(棉花)
截至6月30日当周,美国棉花产区受旱面积占比降至56%
25/26及26/27年度美陆地棉周度出口签约量均继续双双环比下降,出口数据仍显低迷,对市场影响偏空。

有色金属(碳酸锂)
节能汽车、新能源汽车车船税优惠政策调整
策略上仍建议关注逢低做多机会。

能源化工(原油)
欧佩克+同意从8月起上调生产配额
上一周油价偏弱震荡,霍尔木兹海峡通行量回升但进口需求回升暂未见起色,打压油价。

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