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宏观策略(国债期货)
央行开展了70亿元7天期逆回购操作
利多因素固然较多,但央行频频在10Y接近1.7%时进行调控,1.7%已经成为市场的心理底线,除非有重大利多因素出现,否则利率接近心理底时,多头就有止盈的动力。

黑色金属(焦煤/焦炭)
蒙古国传统节日那达慕大会期间三大口岸闭关5天
整体呈现供需两弱格局,在没有明显驱动因素的情况下,短期以震荡运行为主。

宏观策略(股指期货)
韩国拟加快推进大规模半导体项目
7月6日A股市场经历复杂的多空博弈,最终尾盘时煤炭银行等高股息资产占优,而科技股则连续回调。展望后市,我们认为中报业绩的权重将上升,而非简单的高低切换逻辑。

宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数))
美国6月ISM非制造业PMI录得54
特朗普表态沃尔玛下调部分商品价格,这是对于物价的干预,市场风险偏好走高,美元震荡。

农产品(豆粕)
美豆优良率下调1%至64%
美豆优良率下调及出口改善预期令CBOT大豆期价大涨,继续关注美国产区天气及美豆出口实际情况。上周国内油厂开机维持高位,但豆粕提货明显增加,油厂豆粕库存略降。

能源化工(原油)
沙特阿美下调8月官价
油价窄幅波动,沙特阿美下调8月官价。

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