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宏观策略(黄金)
美联储会议纪要:多数参会者倾向于不再暗示宽松倾向
金价再度下跌超1%至4000美金关口附近,市场交易逻辑再度逆转,美国恢复对伊朗的军事打击暂停解除制裁,特朗普一句美伊备忘录已经结束引发油价大涨,其他资产普跌。

宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数))
美国称正对伊朗发动新一轮空袭,特朗普宣布临时协议“结束
特朗普表态美伊备忘录结束,这可能是对于伊朗继续极限施压,市场风险偏好走低,美元上涨。

宏观策略(国债期货)
央行开展了150亿元7天期逆回购操作
利多信息相对较多,但并无消息能够改变做多国债赔率极低的问题,国债期货上涨空间受限,后续建议随着债市走强逐渐止盈。

黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板)
6月全国乘用车市场零售同比降23.2% 环比增6.1%
钢价震荡明显回升,原料供应收缩预期对成本端有所推升,此外钢价向下估值基本到位,也使得支撑增强。不过由于现实减产尚未出现,难以带动钢价的持续回升。

农产品(玉米)
中美达成农产品关税调整意向
中美经贸关系改善可能使进口玉米储备增加,但国内玉米及替代品供应充足,玉米商业化进口政策预计继续收紧

能源化工(原油)
EIA美国战略石油储备库存继续下降
油价进一步大幅上涨,美伊谈判前景生变,风险溢价回升。

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