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宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数))
内塔尼亚胡告诉特朗普,以色列将继续保留对威胁采取行动
美伊谈判取得明显进展,有望达成第一阶段协议。市场风险偏好回升,美元走弱。

宏观策略(股指期货)
证监会等八部门整治非法跨境证券展业活动
国内行情高位波动,市场将其归结为政策监管变化所引起。我们认为近期行情较为极致,是资金与基本面共振引起,有其合理性,但低位股确实存在基本面压力,尚处于左侧。

宏观策略(国债期货)
央行开展了1530亿元7天期逆回购操作
税期资金面略有收敛,叠加股市反弹,国债期货品种多数走弱。

黑色金属(焦煤/焦炭)
山西一煤矿发生瓦斯爆炸
短期来看,由于煤矿事故影响,部分煤矿停止出售,供应减少明显。但后续实际减量将根据煤矿停减产情况决定。短期受此影响,盘面或有大幅上涨情况。

农产品(豆粕)
阿根廷未来两年将逐步下调大豆出口税
美豆产区天气情况良好;巴西继续保持高速出口;阿根廷布交所上调其产量预估,且阿根廷将于2027年开始逐步下调大豆及相关产品出口税。

有色金属(铜)
托克从LME仓库疯狂注销提走海量期铜
美伊周末释放出谈判积极的信号,市场风险偏好将显著回升,从而对铜价产生上行支撑,策略上短线偏多思路对待。

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