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宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数))

美国雇主1月裁员创纪录

美国1月雇主裁员创纪录,劳动力市场明显走弱,市场风险偏好走低,美元回升

宏观策略(股指期货)

三大股指普跌,股市持续缩量

海外科技股回调形成对A股科技股的压制,同时贵金属再度回调,拖累指数。当前阶段最核心因素在于股市成交持续缩量,我们预计年前行情逐渐清淡。

黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板)

Mysteel五大品种库存周环比增加59.24万吨

临近春节假期,五大品种累库比较明显加速,卷板开始累库,螺纹表需明显回落到147万吨左右。当前累库对于现货仍形成压力,但基本面矛盾级别依然不算大,钢价震荡运行。

宏观策略(黄金)

美伊将继续谈判

金价下跌,白银大跌20%,地缘政治紧张局势缓和,中美领导人通电话,美伊将开启谈判,此前下跌调整并未结束,市场做多情绪下降,美股持续回调风险资产普跌。

农产品(豆油/菜油/棕榈油)

MPOA:1月马来西亚棕榈油产量环比下降14.03%

MPOA预测马棕1月产量下降超14%,2月前5日马棕出口小幅下降

有色金属(锌)

七地锌锭库存增加0.82万吨

宏观大幅降温后锌价或进入震荡调整阶段,等待降波为主,但也需关注流动性的转移至有色的可能性,操作上建议暂时观望为主。

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