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宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数))
美国6月非农新增就业5.7万人,远低于市场预期
最新的美国6月非农数据不及预期,劳动力市场韧性降低,市场风险偏好震荡,美元走弱。

宏观策略(国债期货)
央行开展了2885亿元7天期逆回购操作
预计债市暂以高位震荡为主,多空双方在震荡行情中积累力量,预计震荡行情或在Q3中后期结束,彼时市场转跌的概率较高。建议在价格较高时布局空头策略。

宏观策略(黄金)
美国6月季调后非农就业人口增5.7万人
美国6月非农爆冷不及预期,市场对美联储的加息预期降温,从三季度推迟至四季度,紧缩预期压力减少后黄金反弹。6月非农受到休闲住宿业减少6万人就业的拖累。

黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板)
Mysteel五大品种库存周环比增加22.06万吨
本周五大品种累库速度略有放缓,但库存压力仍在累积。铁水处于偏高水平,市场仍会交易减产逻辑,预计短期钢价延续弱势震荡格局。

有色金属(铜)
South32铜锌项目增长55%
美国非农数据远不及预期,市场对流动性紧缩担忧阶段缓和,预计铜价继续震荡运行,短线建议观望。

能源化工(沥青)
沥青炼厂及社会库存录得双减
国际油价近期大幅回落,带动沥青生产利润修复,炼厂生产积极性有所提升,但需求端受降雨天气压制,终端刚需释放受限,市场观望情绪升温,后续仍需关注炼厂生产情况变化

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