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宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数))

特朗普:若能促成协议,愿与伊朗最高领袖会面

真主党拒绝停火协议,特朗普表态乐观,美伊谈判曲折推进,美元指数走势震荡。

宏观策略(股指期货)

A股缩量转弱

亚太股指普跌,A股同样缩量回调,市场情绪再度转弱。近期全球股市高位波动加大,AI产业逻辑虽未被证伪,但资金与交易结构的畸形催生了股指的下跌。

宏观策略(国债期货)

央行开展5000亿元买断式逆回购操作

央行逆回购持续零净投放,不过资金面均衡偏松,叠加股市震荡走弱,国债期货上涨,TL表现最强。目前市场还比较谨慎,不过后续曲线大概率将在波动中转平。

黑色金属(铁矿石)

中国一线城市二手房市场持续回暖

若运费端难以跟随下挫,短期矿价空间或难以进一步打开。铁矿在100美金附近继续做空风险收益比不佳,建议关注近期运费变化。

有色金属(碳酸锂)

秘鲁出台最高法令 锂、铀正式划定为国家关键战略矿

策略上可关注盘后回调后的再低多机会。

航运指数(集装箱运价)

伊朗称打击第2艘MSC集装箱船

欧线上涨路径预期或有修正,但旺季运价中枢持续上移的趋势仍未改变。但在潜在利多释放前,盘面短期或维持震荡走势。

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