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宏观策略(黄金)
美伊谈判暂停
金价下跌超过1%,美伊局势再度生变,在以色列袭击黎巴嫩后,伊朗表示暂停与美国进行谈判,霍尔木兹海峡延续封锁状态,油价再度上涨,美债收益率拉升,打压贵金属价格。

宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数))
美国制造业活动连续五个月扩张
美伊谈判再度出现波折,伊朗停止谈判并封锁海峡,特朗普表态偏软,美元短期走强。

宏观策略(国债期货)
央行开展了110亿元7天期逆回购操作
周末公布的5月制造业PMI不及市场预期,股市冲高乏力,国债期货全天偏强运行,TL表现最强。

黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板)
日本对涉华冷轧铁或非合金钢带和钢板启动反倾销调查
由于焦煤价格再度走强,钢价震荡回升。基本面对于钢价的压制犹存,而由于成本中枢的抬升,加之外需仍有支撑,钢价重心小幅抬升,仍处于震荡格局。

有色金属(铜)
花旗:2027年铜供应缺口料达36万吨
美伊战争再度出现升温迹象,能源价格反弹推升通胀预期,短期或对铜价产生抑制,预计短期铜价或震荡偏弱。

能源化工(原油)
特朗普:协议有望在未来一周内达成 今天只是小插曲
油价大幅上涨,因美伊谈判出现新变数。

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