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宏观策略(股指期货)

A股2026年取得开门红

A股取得开门红,市场情绪较高,对海外地缘事件的负面影响定价偏弱。从开年行情看,预计科技股依然是近期行情主线。后续在无更多利空情况下,市场有望继续走强。

宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数))

美国ISM制造业指数创一年最低点

美国最新的ISM制造业PMI不及预期,实体经济进一步走弱,美元短期回落。

宏观策略(黄金)

美国可能会为重建委内瑞拉石油基础设施补贴

受到委内瑞拉局势引发的避险情绪影响,贵金属大幅上涨,但由于美国没有陷入持久战的风险,对贵金属的提振有限,Bloomberg商品指数调整权重的操作将带来抛压。

农产品(棉花)

Icra:印度棉花产量将下降,引发围绕农村就业的担忧

当前资金面主导市场波动,考虑到棉纱即期生产利润持续恶化、价格在布厂及其下游传导不畅、内外价差较大可能导致进口纱的大量流入等,需警惕资金退场带来的回落风险。

黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板)

越南对华冷轧碳钢板卷作出反倾销日落复审终裁

钢价震荡回落。随着钢厂检修暂歇,铁水产量小幅提升,对成材库存仍会形成一定压力,出口的变化也需要关注。不过由于矛盾积累不够充分,短期预计仍会延续区间震荡格局。

有色金属(铜)

智利政府正促成解决铜矿罢工

宏观因素对铜价继续产生支撑,但基本面因素短期与价格上涨有所背离,预计铜价震荡偏强可能性更大,更多驱动在于宏观情绪。

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上海东证期货有限公司成立于2008年,是一家经中国证券监督管理委员会批准的经营期货业务的综合性公司。东证期货是东方证券股份有限公司全资子公司。公司主要从事商品期货经纪、金融期货经纪、期货交易咨询、资产管理、基金销售等业务,拥有上海期货交易所、大连商品交易所、郑州商品交易所、上海国际能源交易中心和广州期货交易所会员资格,是中国金融期货交易所全面结算会员。公司拥有东证润和资本管理有限公司,上海东祺投资管理有限公司和东证期货国际(新加坡)私人有限公司三家全资子公司。

自成立以来,东证期货秉承稳健经营、创新发展的宗旨,坚持以金融科技助力衍生品发展为主线,通过大数据、云计算、人工智能、区块链等金融科技手段打造研究和技术两大核心竞争力,坚持市场化、国际化、集团化发展方向,朝着建设一流衍生品服务商的目标继续前行。

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