Offshore oil drilling platform in open ocean under blue sky.
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宏观策略(股指期货)
– 中央政治局会议召开
– 中央政治局保持了平稳基调,总体来看更多强调存量政策优化使用,同时存在一些结构性的增量。我们预计对股市长牛的诉求将使得市场仍旧处于风险偏好较高水平上。

宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数))
– 美联储维持利率不变 鲍威尔记者会淡化9月降息预期
– 美联储7月利率会议维持利率水平不变,符合市场预期,鲍威尔淡化9月降息预期,美元指数明显上升。

宏观策略(国债期货)
– 7月政治局会议指出上半年主要经济指标表现良好
– 7月政治局会议公布的增量政策有限,“反内卷”等政策表述更为温和,债市面临的政策风险明显下降,可初步尝试做多。

农产品(豆油/菜油/棕榈油)
– 印尼:IPOC预计对印度出口棕榈油将超过500万吨
– 油脂市场延续震荡,乌克兰菜籽收割不佳致菜系上涨。

黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板)
– 依法依规治理企业无序竞争,推进重点行业产能治理
– 钢价出现较为明显回落,政治局会议并未在“反内卷”方面给到进一步预期,导致市场情绪下滑。“反内卷”中长期影响值得关注,但难以将其短期化交易,市场波动依然较大。

能源化工(原油)
– EIA美国商业原油库存上升
– 油价延续涨势,EIA商业原油库存上升。

更多内容,请浏览东证期货大数据平台繁微:https://bit.ly/46bcOMD

上海东证期货有限公司

上海东证期货有限公司成立于2008年,是一家经中国证券监督管理委员会批准的经营期货业务的综合性公司。东证期货是东方证券股份有限公司全资子公司。公司主要从事商品期货经纪、金融期货经纪、期货交易咨询、资产管理、基金销售等业务,拥有上海期货交易所、大连商品交易所、郑州商品交易所、上海国际能源交易中心和广州期货交易所会员资格,是中国金融期货交易所全面结算会员。公司拥有东证润和资本管理有限公司,上海东祺投资管理有限公司和东证期货国际(新加坡)私人有限公司三家全资子公司。

自成立以来,东证期货秉承稳健经营、创新发展的宗旨,坚持以金融科技助力衍生品发展为主线,通过大数据、云计算、人工智能、区块链等金融科技手段打造研究和技术两大核心竞争力,坚持市场化、国际化、集团化发展方向,朝着建设一流衍生品服务商的目标继续前行。

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