Close-up of stacked U.S. five-cent coins showing Monticello design.
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宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数))
– 特朗普宣布与印尼达成贸易协议 美国将关税税率降至19%
– 美国6月CPI数据基本符合市场预期,CPI同比继续上升,核心CPI环比增速基本持平,整体来看通胀继续上升,美元指数进一步上升。

宏观策略(美国股指期货)
– 美国6月核心CPI同比上涨2.9%
– 美国6月核心通胀涨幅不及预期,但关税影响已有所体现,多数板块跌幅扩大,仅有科技板块录得上涨。

宏观策略(国债期货)
– 中国二季度GDP同比增5.2%,高于预期
– 6月经济数据表现分化,出口强劲带动工业生产超预期,但国内政策效力边际退坡,消费、投资等需求边际走弱。后续几个月债市应由震荡逐渐转强。

黑色金属(螺纹钢/热轧卷板)
– 上半年全国房地产开发投资同比下降11.2%
– 6月经济数据显示地产新开工降幅大幅收窄到10%以内,制造业韧性依然较强,基建投资一般。钢价有所回落,由于经济数据整体较好,超预期政策出台概率也有所下降。

农产品(豆油/菜油/棕榈油)
– ITS:马来7月1-15日棕榈油出口环比减少6.16%
– 马来出口高频数据下滑,油脂市场小幅回调。

能源化工(碳排放)
– 欧盟计划将CBAM范围扩大至下游产品
– 将CBAM范围扩大到一些下游产品对进口下游产品征碳关税的公平性有待考察。且下游产品种类、型号、生产工艺繁多,内含碳排放量的计量存在技术上的困难。

更多内容,请浏览东证期货大数据平台繁微:https://bit.ly/46bcOMD

上海东证期货有限公司

上海东证期货有限公司成立于2008年,是一家经中国证券监督管理委员会批准的经营期货业务的综合性公司。东证期货是东方证券股份有限公司全资子公司。公司主要从事商品期货经纪、金融期货经纪、期货交易咨询、资产管理、基金销售等业务,拥有上海期货交易所、大连商品交易所、郑州商品交易所、上海国际能源交易中心和广州期货交易所会员资格,是中国金融期货交易所全面结算会员。公司拥有东证润和资本管理有限公司,上海东祺投资管理有限公司和东证期货国际(新加坡)私人有限公司三家全资子公司。

自成立以来,东证期货秉承稳健经营、创新发展的宗旨,坚持以金融科技助力衍生品发展为主线,通过大数据、云计算、人工智能、区块链等金融科技手段打造研究和技术两大核心竞争力,坚持市场化、国际化、集团化发展方向,朝着建设一流衍生品服务商的目标继续前行。

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